Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.05%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 40.36% | 29.42% | 30.22% |
| Both teams to score 42.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.13% | 63.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.91% | 83.09% |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.96% | 31.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.65% | 67.35% |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.11% | 37.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.34% | 74.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 13.75% 2-0 @ 8.05% 2-1 @ 7.81% 3-0 @ 3.14% 3-1 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.35% | 1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 11.75% 2-2 @ 3.79% Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.41% | 0-1 @ 11.41% 1-2 @ 6.48% 0-2 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.68% Total : 30.22% |