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Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
The SMISA Stadium
Kelty Hearts

St Mirren
4 - 0
Kelty Hearts

Greive (15'), Jones (50'), Kiltie (59', 85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Forster (58'), Higginbotham (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between St Mirren and Kelty Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 52.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 23.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawKelty Hearts
52.03%24.1%23.87%
Both teams to score 53.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.01%47.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.84%70.16%
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.58%18.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.41%49.58%
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.52%34.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.81%71.19%
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 52.03%
    Kelty Hearts 23.87%
    Draw 24.1%
St MirrenDrawKelty Hearts
1-0 @ 10.74%
2-1 @ 9.68%
2-0 @ 9.09%
3-1 @ 5.46%
3-0 @ 5.12%
3-2 @ 2.91%
4-1 @ 2.31%
4-0 @ 2.17%
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 52.03%
1-1 @ 11.44%
0-0 @ 6.35%
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 6.76%
1-2 @ 6.09%
0-2 @ 3.6%
1-3 @ 2.16%
2-3 @ 1.83%
0-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 23.87%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Kelty Hearts

St Mirren
100%
Draw
0.0%
Kelty Hearts
0.0%
5