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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 25
Feb 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Almondvale Stadium
Aberdeen logo

Livingston
2 - 1
Aberdeen

Obileye (8'), Forrest (49')
Montano (23'), Fitzwater (38'), Omeonga (41'), Lewis (45+1'), Forrest (68'), Pittman (71'), Stryjek (73'), Holt (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ramirez (66')
Hayes (71'), Besuijen (82'), Ojo (87'), MacKenzie (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Livingston and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

Result
LivingstonDrawAberdeen
38.77%28.08%33.15%
Both teams to score 47.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.24%58.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.72%79.28%
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.57%29.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.57%65.43%
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67%33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.41%69.59%
Score Analysis
    Livingston 38.76%
    Aberdeen 33.14%
    Draw 28.08%
LivingstonDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 11.87%
2-1 @ 8.06%
2-0 @ 7.27%
3-1 @ 3.28%
3-0 @ 2.96%
3-2 @ 1.82%
4-1 @ 1%
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 38.76%
1-1 @ 13.17%
0-0 @ 9.71%
2-2 @ 4.47%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.08%
0-1 @ 10.76%
1-2 @ 7.3%
0-2 @ 5.97%
1-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 2.21%
2-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 33.14%

How you voted: Livingston vs Aberdeen

Livingston
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
Aberdeen
28.6%
28