Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.