Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundee United | Draw | Motherwell |
40.19% | 27.45% | 32.36% |
Both teams to score 48.94% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.41% | 56.59% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.43% | 77.57% |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.43% | 27.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.9% | 63.09% |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.57% | 32.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.06% | 68.94% |
Score Analysis |
Dundee United | Draw | Motherwell |
1-0 @ 11.51% 2-1 @ 8.36% 2-0 @ 7.42% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-0 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.92% Total : 40.19% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.94% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 10.06% 1-2 @ 7.31% 0-2 @ 5.67% 1-3 @ 2.74% 0-3 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
9 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
10 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |