Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 52.91%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 21.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Dundee United win it was 1-0 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee United | Draw | Hibernian |
| 21.11% | 25.97% | 52.91% |
| Both teams to score 44.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.2% | 57.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.47% | 78.53% |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.33% | 42.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.99% | 79.01% |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.05% | 21.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.77% | 55.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee United | Draw | Hibernian |
| 1-0 @ 7.98% 2-1 @ 5.15% 2-0 @ 3.4% 3-1 @ 1.46% 3-2 @ 1.11% 3-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.05% Total : 21.11% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 9.36% 2-2 @ 3.91% Other @ 0.61% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 14.2% 0-2 @ 10.76% 1-2 @ 9.17% 0-3 @ 5.44% 1-3 @ 4.64% 0-4 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.89% Total : 52.9% |