Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 36.89%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
| 36.89% | 26.72% | 36.39% |
| Both teams to score 51.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.79% | 53.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.22% | 74.77% |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.15% | 27.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.55% | 63.45% |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.85% | 28.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.16% | 63.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 8.12% 2-0 @ 6.41% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.86% Total : 36.89% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 7.84% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 9.94% 1-2 @ 8.05% 0-2 @ 6.3% 1-3 @ 3.4% 0-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.78% Total : 36.39% |