Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.2%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-0 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for St Johnstone in this match.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Hearts |
22.54% | 26% | 51.47% |
Both teams to score 46.37% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.43% | 56.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.45% | 77.55% |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.49% | 40.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.89% | 77.11% |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.94% | 22.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.61% | 55.39% |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Hearts |
1-0 @ 8.07% 2-1 @ 5.52% 2-0 @ 3.65% 3-1 @ 1.66% 3-2 @ 1.26% 3-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.28% Total : 22.54% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 8.93% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.69% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 13.5% 0-2 @ 10.2% 1-2 @ 9.22% 0-3 @ 5.14% 1-3 @ 4.65% 2-3 @ 2.1% 0-4 @ 1.94% 1-4 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.94% Total : 51.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
9 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
10 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |