Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.2%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-0 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for St Johnstone in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Hearts |
| 22.54% | 26% | 51.47% |
| Both teams to score 46.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.43% | 56.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.45% | 77.55% |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.49% | 40.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.89% | 77.11% |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.94% | 22.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.61% | 55.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 8.07% 2-1 @ 5.52% 2-0 @ 3.65% 3-1 @ 1.66% 3-2 @ 1.26% 3-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.28% Total : 22.54% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 8.93% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.69% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 13.5% 0-2 @ 10.2% 1-2 @ 9.22% 0-3 @ 5.14% 1-3 @ 4.65% 2-3 @ 2.1% 0-4 @ 1.94% 1-4 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.94% Total : 51.46% |