Scottish Cup | Quarter-Finals

Mar 12, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Tynecastle Park

Hearts
4 - 2
St Mirren

Baningime (16'), Haring (29'), McEneff (67'), Simms (85')
Baningime (40')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Brophy (36'), Ronan (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Hearts and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

Last Six:

Last Game: Rangers 2-0 Hearts
Saturday, May 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Rangers	38	49	89
3	Hearts	38	10	61
4	Livingston	38	-5	49

St Mirren

Last Six:

Last Game: Aberdeen 0-0 St Mirren
Sunday, May 15 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Next Game: St Mirren vs. Arbroath
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Hibernian	38	-4	45
8	St Mirren	38	-18	44
9	Aberdeen	38	-5	41

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 61.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 16.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	St Mirren
61.95%	21.62%	16.43%

Both teams to score 49.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.63%

47.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.41%

69.59%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.26%

14.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.03%

42.97%

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.02%

41.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.58%

78.42%

Score Analysis

Hearts 61.95%

St Mirren 16.43%

Draw 21.62%

Hearts	Draw	St Mirren
1-0 @ 11.85% 2-0 @ 11.34% 2-1 @ 9.84% 3-0 @ 7.24% 3-1 @ 6.28% 4-0 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.73% 5-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.31% 5-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.42% Total : 61.95%	1-1 @ 10.28% 0-0 @ 6.19% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.88% Total : 21.62%	0-1 @ 5.37% 1-2 @ 4.46% 0-2 @ 2.33% 1-3 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.73% Total : 16.43%