Scottish Cup
Mar 12, 2022 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Beni Baningime 16' goal
  • Peter Haring 29' goal
  • Beni Baningime 40' yellowcard
  • Aaron McEneff 67' goal
  • Ellis Simms 85' goal
  • goal Eamonn Brophy 36'
  • goal Connor Ronan 62'

Hearts vs St Mirren - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

St Mirren

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 61.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 16.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result

Hearts 61.95%
Draw 21.62%
St Mirren 16.43%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.46%

Goals

Over 2.5 52.63%
Under 2.5 47.37%
Over 3.5 30.41%
Under 3.5 69.59%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 85.26%
Under 0.5 14.74%
Over 1.5 57.03%
Under 1.5 42.97%

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 58.02%
Under 0.5 41.99%
Over 1.5 21.58%
Under 1.5 78.42%

Score analysis

Hearts 61.95%
Draw 21.62%
St Mirren 16.43%
Hearts
1-0 @ 11.85%
2-0 @ 11.34%
2-1 @ 9.84%
3-0 @ 7.24%
3-1 @ 6.28%
4-0 @ 3.46%
4-1 @ 3.01%
3-2 @ 2.73%
5-0 @ 1.33%
4-2 @ 1.31%
5-1 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 61.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.28%
0-0 @ 6.19%
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 21.62%
St Mirren
0-1 @ 5.37%
1-2 @ 4.46%
0-2 @ 2.33%
1-3 @ 1.29%
2-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 16.43%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 26, 2022 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Connor Ronan 22' redcard
  • Alan Power 62' yellowcard
  • Richard Tait 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Atkinson 27'
  • yellowcard Cameron Devlin 62'
  • goal Ellis Simms 64'
  • goal Cameron Devlin 67'
  • yellowcard Peter Haring 86'
  • yellowcard Craig Halkett 89'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 15
Nov 27, 2021 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gary Mackay-Steven 61' goal
  • Cameron Devlin 68' yellowcard
  • Stephen Kingsley 75' goal
  • Andy Halliday 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Shaughnessy 16'
  • yellowcard Ryan Flynn 62'
  • redcard Joe Shaughnessy 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Jak Alnwick 90'+6'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 2
Aug 7, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT The SMISA Stadium
  • Joe Shaughnessy 85' goal
  • Kristian Dennis 86' redcard
  • Curtis Main 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Andy Halliday 16'
  • yellowcard Peter Haring 28'
  • yellowcard Beni Baningime 36'
  • goal Liam Boyce 73'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 28
Mar 11, 2020 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jonathan Obika 48' goal
  • yellowcard Steven Naismith 23'
  • yellowcard Loic Damour 72'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 13
Nov 9, 2019 3.00pm
5
2
HT : 3 2
FT Tynecastle Park (Edinburgh)
  • Steven Naismith 6' goal
  • Sean McLoughlin 30' goal
  • Oliver Bozanic 42' goal
  • Jamie Walker 46' goal
  • Jake Mulraney 77' goal
  • goal Jonathan Obika 21'
  • goal Danny Mullen 33'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2019 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Simple Digital Arena (Paisley)
  • Paul McGinn 41' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aaron Hickey 29'