Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 23.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Dundee United win it was 1-0 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.