Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 52.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Hibernian had a probability of 22.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Hibernian win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.