Cup football is unpredictable, which is why it proves to be so popular, but Hibernian are in much richer form heading into this match right now, and that should benefit them.
Even away from home, the Hibees should be able to take confidence from the performances that they have put together as of late, especially against an out-of-form Motherwell side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
