Scottish Cup | Quarter-Finals

Mar 13, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

Fir Park

Motherwell
1 - 2
Hibernian

Efford (43')
Roberts (7'), McGinley (80'), Lamie (83')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Melkersen (15', 37')
Melkersen (11'), Jasper (54'), Allan (85'), Macey (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Cup clash between Motherwell and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

Last Six:

Last Game: Celtic 6-0 Motherwell
Saturday, May 14 at 12.15pm in Scottish Premiership

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Dundee United	38	-7	48
6	Motherwell	38	-19	46
7	Hibernian	38	-4	45

Hibernian

Last Six:

Last Game: Hibernian 4-0 St Johnstone
Sunday, May 15 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Next Game: Hibernian vs. Clyde
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Motherwell	38	-19	46
7	Hibernian	38	-4	45
8	St Mirren	38	-18	44

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.

Result
Motherwell	Draw	Hibernian
29.67%	26.64%	43.69%

Both teams to score 50.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.64%

54.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.26%

75.74%

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.8%

33.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.2%

69.8%

Hibernian Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.3%

24.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.75%

59.25%

Score Analysis

Motherwell 29.67%

Hibernian 43.69%

Draw 26.64%

Motherwell	Draw	Hibernian
1-0 @ 9.04% 2-1 @ 6.97% 2-0 @ 4.99% 3-1 @ 2.56% 3-0 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.48% Total : 29.67%	1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 8.2% 2-2 @ 4.87% Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.64%	0-1 @ 11.46% 1-2 @ 8.84% 0-2 @ 8.02% 1-3 @ 4.12% 0-3 @ 3.74% 2-3 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 1.44% 0-4 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.5% Total : 43.69%