Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.