Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 55.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 2-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | Celtic |
22.28% | 22.43% | 55.29% |
Both teams to score 56.98% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.63% | 42.37% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.22% | 64.78% |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.21% | 32.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.64% | 69.36% |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.78% | 15.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.13% | 43.87% |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | Celtic |
2-1 @ 5.84% 1-0 @ 5.56% 2-0 @ 3.1% 3-1 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 2.04% 3-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.41% Total : 22.28% | 1-1 @ 10.47% 2-2 @ 5.5% 0-0 @ 4.99% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.42% | 1-2 @ 9.86% 0-1 @ 9.4% 0-2 @ 8.85% 1-3 @ 6.19% 0-3 @ 5.55% 2-3 @ 3.45% 1-4 @ 2.91% 0-4 @ 2.61% 2-4 @ 1.62% 1-5 @ 1.1% 0-5 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.77% Total : 55.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
9 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
10 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |