Arbroath
Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 13, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Gayfield Park
Hibs logo

Arbroath
1 - 3
Hibernian

Wighton (6')
McKenna (38')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mitchell (20'), Nisbet (71'), Mueller (87')
Bushiri (11'), Nisbet (68'), Mitchell (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Cup clash between Arbroath and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.

Result
ArbroathDrawHibernian
34.65%26.64%38.7%
Both teams to score 51.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.96%53.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.37%74.62%
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.87%29.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.94%65.05%
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.27%26.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38%61.99%
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 34.65%
    Hibernian 38.7%
    Draw 26.64%
ArbroathDrawHibernian
1-0 @ 9.6%
2-1 @ 7.82%
2-0 @ 5.92%
3-1 @ 3.21%
3-0 @ 2.44%
3-2 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 34.65%
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 7.79%
2-2 @ 5.16%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.64%
0-1 @ 10.27%
1-2 @ 8.36%
0-2 @ 6.78%
1-3 @ 3.68%
0-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.27%
1-4 @ 1.21%
0-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 38.7%

How you voted: Arbroath vs Hibernian

Arbroath
24.1%
Draw
6.9%
Hibernian
69.0%
29
rhs 2.0


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