Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 13, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Gayfield Park
Arbroath1 - 3Hibernian
We said: Arbroath 2-1 Hibernian
Cup upsets are something that can take place in any round, and Arbroath could be the team that makes it happen prior to the quarter-finals due to the quality they have. The momentum that they have right now and the home advantage that they also boost could prove to be too much for Hibernian overall. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Hibernian |
| 34.65% | 26.64% | 38.7% |
| Both teams to score 51.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
