| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Livingston | 38 | -5 | 49 |
| 5 | Dundee United | 38 | -7 | 48 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 38 | -19 | 46 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Dundee United | 38 | -7 | 48 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 38 | -19 | 46 |
| 7 | Hibernian | 38 | -4 | 45 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 36.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dundee United | Draw | Motherwell |
| 36.54% | 26.9% | 36.55% |
| Both teams to score 51.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.03% | 53.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.58% | 75.41% |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.57% | 28.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.81% | 64.18% |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.58% | 28.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.83% | 64.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee United | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 8.04% 2-0 @ 6.39% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-0 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.72% Total : 36.54% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.08% 2-2 @ 5.06% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 10.16% 1-2 @ 8.04% 0-2 @ 6.39% 1-3 @ 3.37% 0-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.72% Total : 36.55% |