Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.