While Motherwell likely head into this match as favourites due to their league positioning, there is a lot of pressure on St Johnstone right now due to the relegation battle.
The fact that there is so much on the line for them means that they could end up pulling off an upset, as the squad have got a lot to fight for, which can often be a great motivator.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 36.92%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for St Johnstone in this match.
