| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Ross County | 38 | -14 | 41 |
| 11 | St Johnstone | 38 | -27 | 35 |
| 12 | Dundee | 38 | -30 | 29 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Dundee United | 38 | -7 | 48 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 38 | -19 | 46 |
| 7 | Hibernian | 38 | -4 | 45 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 36.92%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for St Johnstone in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Motherwell |
| 35.33% | 27.75% | 36.92% |
| Both teams to score 48.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.67% | 57.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.84% | 78.16% |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.18% | 30.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.9% | 67.1% |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.17% | 29.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.08% | 65.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 10.82% 2-1 @ 7.7% 2-0 @ 6.37% 3-1 @ 3.02% 3-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 1.83% Other @ 3.09% Total : 35.33% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.2% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.75% | 0-1 @ 11.12% 1-2 @ 7.92% 0-2 @ 6.73% 1-3 @ 3.19% 0-3 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.91% |