Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 36.92%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for St Johnstone in this match.