Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 36.6%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ross County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ross County | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 36.6% | 27.79% | 35.61% |
| Both teams to score 48.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.54% | 57.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.74% | 78.27% |
| Ross County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.9% | 30.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.76% | 66.24% |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.29% | 30.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.03% | 66.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ross County | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 11.1% 2-1 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 6.66% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-0 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 1.86% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.35% Total : 36.6% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.25% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.79% | 0-1 @ 10.91% 1-2 @ 7.73% 0-2 @ 6.44% 1-3 @ 3.04% 0-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 3.12% Total : 35.61% |