Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 3

May 7, 2022 at 12pm UK

Celtic Park

Celtic
4 - 1
Hearts

Maeda (30'), Furuhashi (37'), O'Riley (69'), Giakoumakis (90')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Simms (3')
Sibbick (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Celtic and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celtic

Last Six:

Last Game: Celtic 6-0 Motherwell
Saturday, May 14 at 12.15pm in Scottish Premiership

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Celtic	38	70	93
2	Rangers	38	49	89
3	Hearts	38	10	61

Hearts

Last Six:

Last Game: Rangers 2-0 Hearts
Saturday, May 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Rangers	38	49	89
3	Hearts	38	10	61
4	Livingston	38	-5	49

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 68.92%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 12.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Hearts win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
Celtic	Draw	Hearts
68.92%	18.25%	12.83%

Both teams to score 51.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.11%

39.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.75%

62.25%

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.49%

10.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.8%

34.19%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.61%

42.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.22%

78.77%

Score Analysis

Celtic 68.9%

Hearts 12.84%

Draw 18.25%

Celtic	Draw	Hearts
2-0 @ 11.3% 1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 9.7% 3-0 @ 8.49% 3-1 @ 7.29% 4-0 @ 4.78% 4-1 @ 4.1% 3-2 @ 3.13% 5-0 @ 2.16% 5-1 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.76% Other @ 4.31% Total : 68.9%	1-1 @ 8.62% 0-0 @ 4.46% 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 1.01% Total : 18.25%	0-1 @ 3.83% 1-2 @ 3.7% 0-2 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.19% 1-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.42% Total : 12.84%