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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 5
May 14, 2022 at 12.15pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Rangers logo

Hearts
1 - 3
Rangers

Haring (24')
Simms (16')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Itten (33'), Lowry (45+1'), McKinnon (81')
Lowry (53'), King (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 2-0 Hearts
Saturday, May 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Rangers 2-0 Hearts
Saturday, May 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

We said: Hearts 1-1 Rangers

With future games in mind, there is every chance that there will be changes aplenty, although it is unclear which team will benefit from that. All things considered, we have to back a low-scoring draw, Hearts potentially netting a late equaliser when Rangers begin to think more about Wednesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 49%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawRangers
25.77% (0.698 0.7) 25.23% (0.534 0.53) 49% (-1.229 -1.23)
Both teams to score 51.84% (-1 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.95% (-1.63 -1.63)51.05% (1.632 1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.09% (-1.45 -1.45)72.9% (1.45 1.45)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.5% (-0.29599999999999 -0.3)34.5% (0.29799999999999 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.78% (-0.312 -0.31)71.22% (0.315 0.31)
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.15% (-1.161 -1.16)20.85% (1.164 1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.46% (-1.856 -1.86)53.54% (1.857 1.86)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 25.77%
    Rangers 48.99%
    Draw 25.23%
HeartsDrawRangers
1-0 @ 7.66% (0.431 0.43)
2-1 @ 6.39% (0.089 0.09)
2-0 @ 4.07% (0.198 0.2)
3-1 @ 2.27% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.45% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 25.77%
1-1 @ 12% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 7.19% (0.46 0.46)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 11.27% (0.33 0.33)
1-2 @ 9.41% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-2 @ 8.84% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.92% (-0.252 -0.25)
0-3 @ 4.62% (-0.197 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.156 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.93% (-0.173 -0.17)
0-4 @ 1.81% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 48.99%

How you voted: Hearts vs Rangers

Hearts
42.1%
Draw
26.3%
Rangers
31.6%
19
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2022 4pm
Rangers
5-0
Hearts
Morelos (11', 64'), Kamara (72'), Arfield (75'), Sakala (84')
Ughelumba (27'), Balogun (53')

Atkinson (59'), Kingsley (87')
Dec 12, 2021 12pm
Hearts
0-2
Rangers

Ginnelly (35'), Halkett (37'), Gordon (54'), Devlin (84'), Haring (85')
Ginnelly (80')
Morelos (9'), Aribo (13')
Tavernier (69'), Aribo (70'), McGregor (76'), Barisic (81'), Kent (86')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Rangers
1-1
Hearts
Lundstram (40')
Goldson (23'), Aribo (36'), Balogun (47'), Bacuna (87')
Halkett (90')
Cochrane (16'), Baningime (37'), Devlin (75'), Kingsley (87')
Feb 29, 2020 5.30pm
Hearts
1-0
Rangers
Bozanic (58')
Damour (38'), Clare (81')

Jack (25'), Stewart (66'), Kent (90')
Jan 26, 2020 3pm
Hearts
2-1
Rangers
Naismith (56'), Boyce (84')
Henderson (68')
Kent (46')
Flanagan (28'), Jack (42')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic000080265478
2RangersRangers000072234975
3Hearts000046341262
4Kilmarnock00004334951
5St Mirren00003843-543
6Dundee00004454-1041
Relegation Group
1Hibernian00004451-739
2Motherwell00004651-537
3Aberdeen00003549-1435
4St Johnstone00002446-2231
5Ross County00003256-2430
6Livingston00002259-3718
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
12Livingston3339212259-3718


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