Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 5

May 14, 2022 at 12.15pm UK

Tynecastle Park

Hearts
1 - 3
Rangers

Haring (24')
Simms (16')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Itten (33'), Lowry (45+1'), McKinnon (81')
Lowry (53'), King (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

Last Six:

Last Game: Rangers 2-0 Hearts
Saturday, May 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Rangers	38	49	89
3	Hearts	38	10	61
4	Livingston	38	-5	49

Rangers

Last Six:

Last Game: Rangers 2-0 Hearts
Saturday, May 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Celtic	38	70	93
2	Rangers	38	49	89
3	Hearts	38	10	61

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 49%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Rangers
25.77% ( 0.7)	25.23% ( 0.53)	49% ( -1.23)

Both teams to score 51.84% (

-1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.95% (

-1.63)

51.05% (

1.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.09% (

-1.45)

72.9% (

1.45)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.5% (

-0.3)

34.5% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.78% (

-0.31)

71.22% (

0.31)

Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.15% (

-1.16)

20.85% (

1.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.46% (

-1.86)

53.54% (

1.86)

Score Analysis

Hearts 25.77%

Rangers 48.99%

Draw 25.23%

Hearts	Draw	Rangers
1-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.17% Total : 25.77%	1-1 @ 12% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.23%	0-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 9.41% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 8.84% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.55% Total : 48.99%