Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 63.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 16.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.43%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Motherwell win it was 1-0 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.