Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 32

Apr 2, 2022 at 3pm UK

Fir Park Stadium

Motherwell
4 - 2
St Mirren

Goss (20'), Shields (21'), Cornelius (45'), Tait (76' og.)

FT(HT: 3-2)

Brophy (14'), McCarthy (38')
Power (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

Last Six:

Last Game: Celtic 6-0 Motherwell
Saturday, May 14 at 12.15pm in Scottish Premiership

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Dundee United	38	-7	48
6	Motherwell	38	-19	46
7	Hibernian	38	-4	45

St Mirren

Last Six:

Last Game: Aberdeen 0-0 St Mirren
Sunday, May 15 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Next Game: St Mirren vs. Arbroath
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Hibernian	38	-4	45
8	St Mirren	38	-18	44
9	Aberdeen	38	-5	41

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
Motherwell	Draw	St Mirren
45.68%	26.92%	27.4%

Both teams to score 48.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.5%

56.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.5%

77.5%

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.32%

24.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.79%

59.21%

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.9%

36.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.11%

72.89%

Score Analysis

Motherwell 45.67%

St Mirren 27.4%

Draw 26.92%

Motherwell	Draw	St Mirren
1-0 @ 12.46% 2-1 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 8.72% 3-1 @ 4.14% 3-0 @ 4.07% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.41% Total : 45.67%	1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 8.91% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.92%	0-1 @ 9.08% 1-2 @ 6.47% 0-2 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 1.92% Total : 27.4%