Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 4

May 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

The SMISA Stadium

St Mirren
0 - 0
Livingston

Gogic (57')

Kelly (25'), Forrest (37'), Fitzwater (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

Last Six:

Last Game: Aberdeen 0-0 St Mirren
Sunday, May 15 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Next Game: St Mirren vs. Arbroath
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Hibernian	38	-4	45
8	St Mirren	38	-18	44
9	Aberdeen	38	-5	41

Livingston

Last Six:

Last Game: Livingston 2-1 Dundee
Sunday, May 15 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Next Game: Albion Rovers vs. Livingston
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Hearts	38	10	61
4	Livingston	38	-5	49
5	Dundee United	38	-7	48

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
St Mirren	Draw	Livingston
40.26% ( 3.49)	28.64% ( -0.36)	31.09% ( -3.14)

Both teams to score 45.15% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.85% (

0.73)

61.15% (

-0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.89% (

0.54)

81.1% (

-0.54)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.26% (

2.48)

29.73% (

-2.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.2% (

2.91)

65.79% (

-2.92)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.26% (

-1.85)

35.73% (

1.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.49% (

-1.95)

72.5% (

1.94)

Score Analysis

St Mirren 40.25%

Livingston 31.09%

Draw 28.64%

St Mirren	Draw	Livingston
1-0 @ 12.88% ( 0.52) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.46) 2-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.81) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.39) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.52) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.18) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.21) Other @ 1.48% Total : 40.25%	1-1 @ 13.26% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.64%	0-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.88) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.42) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.77) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.27) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.38) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.02% Total : 31.09%