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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 4
May 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The SMISA Stadium
Livingston logo

St Mirren
0 - 0
Livingston


Gogic (57')
FT

Kelly (25'), Forrest (37'), Fitzwater (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberdeen 0-0 St Mirren
Sunday, May 15 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Next Game: St Mirren vs. Arbroath
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Livingston 2-1 Dundee
Sunday, May 15 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Next Game: Albion Rovers vs. Livingston
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

We said: St Mirren 1-1 Livingston

On the back of two wins and clean sheets, St Mirren will back themselves to extend that record against opponents of a similar level to themselves. Nevertheless, we cannot ignore that Livingston's own good form, leading us to predict a competitive low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawLivingston
40.26% (3.49 3.49) 28.64% (-0.36 -0.36) 31.09% (-3.137 -3.14)
Both teams to score 45.15% (0.343 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.85% (0.726 0.73)61.15% (-0.732 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.89% (0.536 0.54)81.1% (-0.542 -0.54)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.26% (2.481 2.48)29.73% (-2.486 -2.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.2% (2.909 2.91)65.79% (-2.916 -2.92)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.26% (-1.848 -1.85)35.73% (1.842 1.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.49% (-1.948 -1.95)72.5% (1.942 1.94)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 40.25%
    Livingston 31.09%
    Draw 28.64%
St MirrenDrawLivingston
1-0 @ 12.88% (0.52 0.52)
2-1 @ 8.04% (0.465 0.46)
2-0 @ 7.82% (0.812 0.81)
3-1 @ 3.25% (0.391 0.39)
3-0 @ 3.16% (0.516 0.52)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.125 0.13)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.176 0.18)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.209 0.21)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 40.25%
1-1 @ 13.26% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 10.62% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-2 @ 4.14% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.64%
0-1 @ 10.93% (-0.88 -0.88)
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.416 -0.42)
0-2 @ 5.63% (-0.767 -0.77)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.375 -0.38)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 31.09%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Livingston

St Mirren
50.0%
Draw
37.5%
Livingston
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Livingston
1-1
St Mirren
Livingston win 4-3 on penalties
Forrest (41')
Holt (45+3'), Bailey (57'), Pittman (64'), Jacobs (120+4')
McCarthy (82')
Shaughnessy (47')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1514104444043
2Aberdeen16104230181234
3RangersRangers1510232791832
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd156632215724
5Motherwell157171823-522
6Dundee165472729-219
7St Mirren165381926-718
8Ross County163671230-1815
9St Johnstone1642101829-1114
10Kilmarnock163581734-1714
11Hearts163491825-713
12Hibernian162681828-1012


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