Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.65%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (11.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.