Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for St Mirren in this match.