| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Ross County | 38 | -14 | 41 |
| 11 | St Johnstone | 38 | -27 | 35 |
| 12 | Dundee | 38 | -30 | 29 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Hearts | 38 | 10 | 61 |
| 4 | Livingston | 38 | -5 | 49 |
| 5 | Dundee United | 38 | -7 | 48 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (11.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Johnstone in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Livingston |
| 38.74% | 28.95% | 32.31% |
| Both teams to score 44.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.08% | 61.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.33% | 81.67% |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.98% | 31.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.68% | 67.32% |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.74% | 35.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.99% | 72.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 12.8% 2-1 @ 7.81% 2-0 @ 7.49% 3-1 @ 3.05% 3-0 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.07% Total : 38.74% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.93% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.94% | 0-1 @ 11.39% 1-2 @ 6.96% 0-2 @ 5.94% 1-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.11% Total : 32.3% |