| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Hearts | 38 | 10 | 61 |
| 4 | Livingston | 38 | -5 | 49 |
| 5 | Dundee United | 38 | -7 | 48 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Ross County | 38 | -14 | 41 |
| 11 | St Johnstone | 38 | -27 | 35 |
| 12 | Dundee | 38 | -30 | 29 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 46.52%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 24.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 46.52% | 28.74% | 24.74% |
| Both teams to score 41.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.98% | 64.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.8% | 83.19% |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.28% | 27.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.72% | 63.28% |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.34% | 42.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21% | 78.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 15.16% 2-0 @ 9.73% 2-1 @ 8.29% 3-0 @ 4.16% 3-1 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.34% 4-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.63% Total : 46.51% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 11.82% 2-2 @ 3.53% Other @ 0.46% Total : 28.73% | 0-1 @ 10.07% 1-2 @ 5.51% 0-2 @ 4.29% 1-3 @ 1.56% 0-3 @ 1.22% 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.08% Total : 24.74% |