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St Johnstone logo
Scottish Premiership Playoffs | Final | 2nd Leg
May 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
McDiarmid Park
Inverness CT

St Johnstone
4 - 0
Inverness

May (46'), MacPherson (53'), Hendry (88'), Rooney (90')
MacPherson (5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Carson (20'), Broadfoot (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Scottish Premiership Playoffs clash between St Johnstone and Inverness Caledonian Thistle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Johnstone

Last Six:
Last Game: St Johnstone 4-0 Inverness
Monday, May 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership Playoffs
Next Game: St Johnstone vs. Annan
Tuesday, July 12 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

Last Six:
Last Game: St Johnstone 4-0 Inverness
Monday, May 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership Playoffs
Next Game: Kelty Hearts vs. Inverness
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

We said: St Johnstone 2-1 Inverness Caledonian Thistle

 Inverness have given themselves a real chance ahead of the second leg, but we are finding it difficult to back the visitors here. Indeed, St Johnstone's superior quality across the park should ultimately shine through to ensure that they are present in the Scottish Premiership next term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 35.7%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (12.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
35.7% (1.969 1.97) 29.39% (-0.746 -0.75) 34.91% (-1.226 -1.23)
Both teams to score 43.79% (2.045 2.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.87% (2.416 2.42)63.13% (-2.417 -2.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.44% (1.709 1.71)82.56% (-1.712 -1.71)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.43% (2.646 2.65)33.57% (-2.649 -2.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.79% (2.787 2.79)70.21% (-2.789 -2.79)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.91% (0.46900000000001 0.47)34.09% (-0.47 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.22% (0.501 0.5)70.78% (-0.502 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 35.7%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 34.91%
    Draw 29.38%
St JohnstoneDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 12.49% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 7.34% (0.478 0.48)
2-0 @ 6.82% (0.362 0.36)
3-1 @ 2.67% (0.347 0.35)
3-0 @ 2.48% (0.295 0.3)
3-2 @ 1.44% (0.203 0.2)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 35.7%
1-1 @ 13.44% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 11.44% (-1.07 -1.07)
2-2 @ 3.95% (0.304 0.3)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 29.38%
0-1 @ 12.31% (-0.98 -0.98)
1-2 @ 7.23% (0.058 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.63% (-0.438 -0.44)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.054 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.38% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.125 0.13)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 34.91%

How you voted: St Johnstone vs Inverness

St Johnstone
80.8%
Draw
5.5%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
13.7%
73
Head to Head
May 20, 2022 7.45pm
Inverness
2-2
St Johnstone
McAlear (73', 80')
Rooney (18'), Hallberg (24')
Middleton (52')
Jul 12, 2019 7.30pm
St Johnstone
3-1
Inverness
Keatings (36'), Todorov (67'), Machado (85')
Tanser (51' pen.)
Apr 8, 2017 3pm
Inverness
0-3
St Johnstone

Cole (81')
Cole (82')
MacLean (40'), Craig (88' pen.), Cummins (91')
Alston (65')
Dec 3, 2016 3pm
St Johnstone
3-0
Inverness
Craig (14'), Davidson (62'), Swanson (81')
Coulson (57'), Wotherspoon (75')

Draper (45'), Doumbouya (51'), Warren (60')
Warren (61')
Aug 27, 2016 3pm
Inverness
2-1
St Johnstone
Draper (59'), Meekings (91')
Draper (67')
Foster (79')
Wotherspoon (58')
rhs 2.0
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