Scottish Premiership Playoffs | Final | 2nd Leg

May 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

McDiarmid Park

St Johnstone
4 - 0
Inverness

(St Johnstone win 6-2 on aggregate)

May (46'), MacPherson (53'), Hendry (88'), Rooney (90')
MacPherson (5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Carson (20'), Broadfoot (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Scottish Premiership Playoffs clash between St Johnstone and Inverness Caledonian Thistle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Johnstone

Last Six:

Last Game: St Johnstone 4-0 Inverness
Monday, May 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership Playoffs

Next Game: St Johnstone vs. Annan
Tuesday, July 12 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Ross County	38	-14	41
11	St Johnstone	38	-27	35
12	Dundee	38	-30	29

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

Last Six:

Last Game: St Johnstone 4-0 Inverness
Monday, May 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership Playoffs

Next Game: Kelty Hearts vs. Inverness
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Arbroath	35	23	62
3	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	35	15	56
4	Partick Thistle	35	8	52

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 35.7%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (12.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.

Result
St Johnstone	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
35.7% ( 1.97)	29.39% ( -0.75)	34.91% ( -1.23)

Both teams to score 43.79% (

2.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.87% (

2.42)

63.13% (

-2.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.44% (

1.71)

82.56% (

-1.71)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.43% (

2.65)

33.57% (

-2.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.79% (

2.79)

70.21% (

-2.79)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.91% (

0.47)

34.09% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.22% (

0.5)

70.78% (

-0.5)

Score Analysis

St Johnstone 35.7%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 34.91%

Draw 29.38%

St Johnstone	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 12.49% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.47% Total : 35.7%	1-1 @ 13.44% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 11.44% ( -1.07) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.3) Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.38%	0-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.98) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.44) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.35% Total : 34.91%