| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Arbroath | 35 | 23 | 62 |
| 3 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle | 35 | 15 | 56 |
| 4 | Partick Thistle | 35 | 8 | 52 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kilmarnock | 35 | 23 | 66 |
| 2 | Arbroath | 35 | 23 | 62 |
| 3 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle | 35 | 15 | 56 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.56%) and 1-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 28.29% | 27.82% | 43.88% |
| Both teams to score 46.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.71% | 59.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.31% | 79.69% |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.11% | 36.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.32% | 73.68% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.15% | 26.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.84% | 62.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% 2-1 @ 6.48% 2-0 @ 4.93% 3-1 @ 2.15% 3-0 @ 1.64% 3-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.81% Total : 28.29% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 9.91% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.82% | 0-1 @ 13.02% 0-2 @ 8.56% 1-2 @ 8.54% 0-3 @ 3.75% 1-3 @ 3.74% 2-3 @ 1.87% 0-4 @ 1.23% 1-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.93% Total : 43.88% |