Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 51.23%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 23.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 51.23% | 25.61% | 23.15% |
| Both teams to score 48.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.37% | 54.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.04% | 75.96% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.65% | 21.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.68% | 54.32% |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.19% | 38.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.46% | 75.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 12.79% 2-0 @ 9.88% 2-1 @ 9.35% 3-0 @ 5.08% 3-1 @ 4.81% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-0 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.22% Total : 51.23% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 8.29% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 7.84% 1-2 @ 5.73% 0-2 @ 3.71% 1-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.4% 0-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.49% Total : 23.15% |