| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Hamilton Academical | 35 | -11 | 42 |
| 7 | Greenock Morton | 35 | -8 | 40 |
| 8 | Ayr United | 35 | -15 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Arbroath | 35 | 23 | 62 |
| 3 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle | 35 | 15 | 56 |
| 4 | Partick Thistle | 35 | 8 | 52 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle in this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 29.86% | 27.15% | 42.99% |
| Both teams to score 48.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.77% | 56.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.72% | 77.28% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.96% | 34.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.28% | 70.72% |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.09% | 25.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.1% | 60.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 9.5% 2-1 @ 6.92% 2-0 @ 5.12% 3-1 @ 2.49% 3-0 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.32% Total : 29.86% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.82% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 11.91% 1-2 @ 8.67% 0-2 @ 8.04% 1-3 @ 3.9% 0-3 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.2% Total : 42.99% |