Greenock Morton
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 9, 2022 at 3pm UK
Cappielow Park
Falkirk

Morton
0 - 0
Falkirk


King (61'), Blues (89')
FT

McKay (73'), McGinn (77')
Henderson (53')
Falkirk win 5-4 on penalties
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Greenock Morton and Falkirk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Greenock MortonDrawFalkirk
42.73% (0.025999999999996 0.03)25.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)31.64% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.41% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.54% (0.020000000000003 0.02)49.46% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.5% (0.016999999999999 0.02)71.49% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.97% (0.019999999999996 0.02)23.03% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.16% (0.030999999999999 0.03)56.84% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.69% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)29.3% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.73% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)65.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Greenock Morton 42.73%
    Falkirk 31.64%
    Draw 25.62%
Greenock MortonDrawFalkirk
1-0 @ 9.91% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.37% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 42.73%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 6.75% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.28% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.24%
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 31.64%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2019 3pm
Falkirk
0-2
Morton

Rudden (92')
Kiltie (47'), Telfer (54')
Tidser (18'), Iredale (40')
Mar 1, 2019 7.05pm
Morton
1-1
Falkirk
Kiltie (32')
Buchanan (13')
Rudden (40')
McShane (12'), Dixon (44'), Robson (84'), Burgoyne (92')
Dixon (60')
Dec 15, 2018 3pm
Falkirk
0-0
Morton

Buaben (90')

Telfer (36'), Kilday (57'), Tidser (63')
Oct 20, 2018 3pm
Morton
1-0
Falkirk
McHugh (76')

Muirhead (27'), Paton (61'), Lewis (62'), Rudden (82')
Fasan (49')
Mar 10, 2018 3pm
Falkirk
3-1
Morton
Muirhead (4' pen.), Nelson (18'), Jakubiak (30')
McGhee (41'), Blair (67')
Harkins (90')
Murdoch (57'), Harkins (90')