| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Hamilton Academical | 35 | -11 | 42 |
| 7 | Greenock Morton | 35 | -8 | 40 |
| 8 | Ayr United | 35 | -15 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Raith Rovers | 35 | 0 | 49 |
| 6 | Hamilton Academical | 35 | -11 | 42 |
| 7 | Greenock Morton | 35 | -8 | 40 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hamilton Academical in this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 28.79% | 26.23% | 44.98% |
| Both teams to score 51.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.84% | 53.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.27% | 74.73% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.77% | 33.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.16% | 69.84% |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.45% | 23.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.4% | 57.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 1-0 @ 8.62% 2-1 @ 6.87% 2-0 @ 4.75% 3-1 @ 2.52% 3-2 @ 1.82% 3-0 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.46% Total : 28.79% | 1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.82% 2-2 @ 4.97% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 11.31% 1-2 @ 9.01% 0-2 @ 8.18% 1-3 @ 4.35% 0-3 @ 3.94% 2-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.57% 0-4 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.79% Total : 44.97% |