| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Raith Rovers | 35 | 0 | 49 |
| 6 | Hamilton Academical | 35 | -11 | 42 |
| 7 | Greenock Morton | 35 | -8 | 40 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Ayr United | 35 | -15 | 36 |
| 9 | Dunfermline Athletic | 35 | -16 | 35 |
| 10 | Queen of the South | 35 | -19 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 51.77% | 24.83% | 23.4% |
| Both teams to score 50.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.59% | 51.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.77% | 73.23% |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.15% | 19.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.06% | 51.94% |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.21% | 36.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.42% | 73.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.8% 2-1 @ 9.55% 2-0 @ 9.55% 3-1 @ 5.15% 3-0 @ 5.15% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-0 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.8% Total : 51.76% | 1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 7.3% 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.83% | 0-1 @ 7.3% 1-2 @ 5.9% 0-2 @ 3.65% 1-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.76% Total : 23.4% |