Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 39.93% | 27.06% | 33.01% |
| Both teams to score 50.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.05% | 54.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.77% | 76.23% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.05% | 26.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.71% | 62.29% |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.85% | 31.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.52% | 67.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 1-0 @ 11% 2-1 @ 8.42% 2-0 @ 7.22% 3-1 @ 3.68% 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.07% Total : 39.92% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.39% 2-2 @ 4.91% Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 9.79% 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-2 @ 5.71% 1-3 @ 2.91% 0-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 2.98% Total : 33.01% |