Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 47.57%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 25.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.45%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 1-0 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
Result | ||
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Kilmarnock |
25.26% | 27.18% | 47.57% |
Both teams to score 45.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.35% | 58.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.8% | 79.2% |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.88% | 39.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.16% | 75.84% |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.28% | 24.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.73% | 59.27% |
Score Analysis |
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 9.08% 2-1 @ 5.95% 2-0 @ 4.26% 3-1 @ 1.86% 3-0 @ 1.33% 3-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.47% Total : 25.26% | 1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 9.67% 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 13.51% 0-2 @ 9.45% 1-2 @ 8.86% 0-3 @ 4.4% 1-3 @ 4.13% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-4 @ 1.54% 1-4 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.3% Total : 47.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
2 | Livingston | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 33 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 31 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 25 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 18 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 16 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 31 | -23 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |