Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 55.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 19.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.31%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 1-0 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 19.49% | 25.3% | 55.21% |
| Both teams to score 44.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.86% | 57.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.99% | 78.01% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.94% | 44.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.83% | 80.17% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.28% | 20.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.66% | 53.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 7.48% 2-1 @ 4.83% 2-0 @ 3.07% 3-1 @ 1.32% 3-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.76% Total : 19.49% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 9.13% 2-2 @ 3.8% Other @ 0.59% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 14.37% 0-2 @ 11.31% 1-2 @ 9.27% 0-3 @ 5.93% 1-3 @ 4.86% 0-4 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.91% Other @ 3.22% Total : 55.21% |