Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 71.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 11.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 71.03% | 17.86% | 11.11% |
| Both teams to score 47.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.35% | 42.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.95% | 65.05% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.27% | 10.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.32% | 34.68% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.92% | 47.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.45% | 82.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 2-0 @ 12.58% 1-0 @ 11.27% 2-1 @ 9.48% 3-0 @ 9.37% 3-1 @ 7.06% 4-0 @ 5.23% 4-1 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 2.66% 5-0 @ 2.33% 5-1 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.87% Total : 71.02% | 1-1 @ 8.49% 0-0 @ 5.05% 2-2 @ 3.57% Other @ 0.74% Total : 17.86% | 0-1 @ 3.81% 1-2 @ 3.2% 0-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.67% Total : 11.11% |