Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 33.72% | 26.58% | 39.69% |
| Both teams to score 51.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.08% | 52.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.47% | 74.52% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.34% | 29.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.29% | 65.7% |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.86% | 26.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.79% | 61.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 1-0 @ 9.42% 2-1 @ 7.68% 2-0 @ 5.73% 3-1 @ 3.11% 3-0 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.43% Total : 33.73% | 1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 7.75% 2-2 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 10.4% 1-2 @ 8.48% 0-2 @ 6.98% 1-3 @ 3.79% 0-3 @ 3.12% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.29% Total : 39.69% |