Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 20.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 55.41% | 24.06% | 20.52% |
| Both teams to score 49.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.61% | 51.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.8% | 73.2% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.58% | 18.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.43% | 49.57% |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.4% | 39.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.71% | 76.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 1-0 @ 12.33% 2-0 @ 10.43% 2-1 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 5.89% 3-1 @ 5.45% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-0 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 2.31% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.23% Total : 55.4% | 1-1 @ 11.42% 0-0 @ 7.29% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.05% | 0-1 @ 6.76% 1-2 @ 5.29% 0-2 @ 3.13% 1-3 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.38% 0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.36% Total : 20.52% |