Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 33.01% | 26.43% | 40.56% |
| Both teams to score 52.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.57% | 52.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.89% | 74.11% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.12% | 29.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.02% | 65.98% |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.56% | 25.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.73% | 60.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 1-0 @ 9.18% 2-1 @ 7.59% 2-0 @ 5.55% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-0 @ 2.23% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.38% Total : 33.01% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.6% 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 10.4% 1-2 @ 8.6% 0-2 @ 7.12% 1-3 @ 3.93% 0-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 1.34% 0-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.43% Total : 40.56% |