Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 45.66%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 25.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.33%) and 1-2 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 1-0 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 25.94% | 28.4% | 45.66% |
| Both teams to score 43.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.69% | 62.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.04% | 81.96% |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.42% | 40.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.82% | 77.18% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.65% | 27.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.2% | 62.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 5.85% 2-0 @ 4.51% 3-1 @ 1.76% 3-0 @ 1.36% 3-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.3% Total : 25.93% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 11.09% 2-2 @ 3.79% Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.39% | 0-1 @ 14.38% 0-2 @ 9.33% 1-2 @ 8.41% 0-3 @ 4.03% 1-3 @ 3.64% 2-3 @ 1.64% 0-4 @ 1.31% 1-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.74% Total : 45.66% |