Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Queen of the South in this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 44.61% | 26.59% | 28.8% |
| Both teams to score 49.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.44% | 54.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.1% | 75.9% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.66% | 24.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.26% | 58.73% |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.05% | 33.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.37% | 70.63% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.67% 2-1 @ 8.91% 2-0 @ 8.25% 3-1 @ 4.2% 3-0 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.56% Total : 44.6% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 8.26% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 8.93% 1-2 @ 6.81% 0-2 @ 4.82% 1-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.32% Total : 28.8% |