Scottish Championship | Gameweek 5

Sep 11, 2021 at 3pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
3 - 1
Dunfermline

Adeloye (3', 63'), Salkeld (25')
Murdoch (39'), Albinson (76')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Todorov (28')
Graham (78'), Todorov (90')

The Match

Match Report

Tomi Adeloye scored twice for the hosts.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
43.74%	26.32%	29.93%

Both teams to score 51.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.99%

53.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.4%

74.6%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.92%

24.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.63%

58.37%

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.7%

32.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.2%

68.8%

Score Analysis

Ayr United 43.74%

Dunfermline Athletic 29.93%

Draw 26.32%

Ayr United	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 11.07% 2-1 @ 8.91% 2-0 @ 7.88% 3-1 @ 4.23% 3-0 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.68% Total : 43.74%	1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.78% 2-2 @ 5.03% Other @ 1% Total : 26.32%	0-1 @ 8.79% 1-2 @ 7.07% 0-2 @ 4.97% 1-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 1.9% 0-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.93%

Ayr3 - 1Dunfermline

The Match

Match Report

Data Analysis

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Ayr
3 - 1
Dunfermline