Scottish Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 11, 2021 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Tomi Adeloye 3' goal
  • Cameron Salkeld 25' goal
  • Andy Murdoch 39' yellowcard
  • Tomi Adeloye 63' goal
  • Charlie Albinson 76' yellowcard
  • goal Nikolay Todorov 28'
  • yellowcard Ross Graham 78'
  • yellowcard Nikolay Todorov 90'

Ayr United vs Dunfermline Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Sep 7, 2021 6.00pm
Ayr 0 - 2 Raith Rovers
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Tomi Adeloye

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 28, 2021 3.00pm
Dunfermline 0 - 3 Arbroath
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Kevin O'Hara

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result

Ayr United 43.74%
Draw 26.32%
Dunfermline Athletic 29.93%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 46.99%
Under 2.5 53.01%
Over 3.5 25.4%
Under 3.5 74.6%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 75.92%
Under 0.5 24.08%
Over 1.5 41.63%
Under 1.5 58.37%

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 67.7%
Under 0.5 32.3%
Over 1.5 31.2%
Under 1.5 68.8%

Score analysis

Ayr United 43.74%
Draw 26.32%
Dunfermline Athletic 29.93%
Ayr United
1-0 @ 11.07%
2-1 @ 8.91%
2-0 @ 7.88%
3-1 @ 4.23%
3-0 @ 3.74%
3-2 @ 2.39%
4-1 @ 1.51%
4-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 43.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 7.78%
2-2 @ 5.03%
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.32%
Dunfermline Athletic
0-1 @ 8.79%
1-2 @ 7.07%
0-2 @ 4.97%
1-3 @ 2.66%
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 29.93%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 24
Apr 10, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Michael Miller 24' goal
  • goal Declan McManus 12'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 14
Jan 23, 2021 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 4
Nov 7, 2020 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Bruce Anderson 66' yellowcard
  • Andy Murdoch 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul Watson 69'
  • yellowcard Kerr McInroy 85'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 32
Apr 4, 2020 3.00pm
Somerset Park
Scottish Championship Gameweek 20
Jan 4, 2020 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • yellowcard Andy Geggan 11'
  • goal Craig Moore 38'
  • yellowcard Ross Docherty 82'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2019 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Somerset Park (Ayr)
  • Michael Moffat 52' yellowcard
  • Daniel Harvie 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Beadling 45'
  • goal Kevin Nisbet 68'