Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Arbroath |
| 45.33% | 27.23% | 27.43% |
| Both teams to score 47.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.39% | 57.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.62% | 78.38% |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.66% | 25.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.87% | 60.13% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.32% | 36.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.54% | 73.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 12.76% 2-1 @ 8.78% 2-0 @ 8.76% 3-1 @ 4.02% 3-0 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.24% Total : 45.33% | 1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 9.3% 2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.23% | 0-1 @ 9.32% 1-2 @ 6.42% 0-2 @ 4.68% 1-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 1.84% Total : 27.43% |