Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 53.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 21.58%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 53.67% | 24.74% | 21.58% |
| Both teams to score 48.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.16% | 52.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.54% | 74.46% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.35% | 19.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.39% | 51.61% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.66% | 39.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.96% | 76.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 12.57% 2-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 5.55% 3-1 @ 5.18% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-0 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 2.11% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.82% Total : 53.67% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 7.73% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 7.21% 1-2 @ 5.47% 0-2 @ 3.36% 1-3 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.39% 0-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.41% Total : 21.58% |