Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Ayr United |
42.53% | 26.22% | 31.25% |
Both teams to score 52.33% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.91% | 52.09% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.18% | 73.82% |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.72% | 24.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.35% | 58.65% |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.11% | 30.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.82% | 67.18% |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Ayr United |
1-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 8.83% 2-0 @ 7.51% 3-1 @ 4.16% 3-0 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.68% Total : 42.52% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.5% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 8.81% 1-2 @ 7.33% 0-2 @ 5.18% 1-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 2.03% Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 69 | 22 | 47 | 72 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 65 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 54 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 44 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 43 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 42 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 37 |
10 | Arbroath | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 35 | 79 | -44 | 23 |
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