Scottish Championship | Gameweek 25

Apr 17, 2021 at 12pm UK

Gayfield Park

Arbroath
4 - 0
Ayr

Little (11'), Williamson (24'), Hamilton (27'), Hilson (65')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Miller (31'), Muirhead (34')

The Match

Match Report

Ricky Little, Ben Williamson and Jack Hamilton put the home side 3-0 up inside 30 minutes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Ayr United
42.53%	26.22%	31.25%

Both teams to score 52.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.91%

52.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.18%

73.82%

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.72%

24.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.35%

58.65%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.11%

30.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.82%

67.18%

Score Analysis

Arbroath 42.52%

Ayr United 31.25%

Draw 26.22%

Arbroath	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 8.83% 2-0 @ 7.51% 3-1 @ 4.16% 3-0 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.68% Total : 42.52%	1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.5% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.22%	0-1 @ 8.81% 1-2 @ 7.33% 0-2 @ 5.18% 1-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 2.03% Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.25%

Arbroath4 - 0Ayr

The Match

Match Report

Data Analysis

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Arbroath
4 - 0
Ayr