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Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 2, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
Ayr United

Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Ayr

Polworth (56'), Cameron (86' pen.)
Stokes (45+1'), Lyons (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Adeloye (31'), Houston (41'), Salkeld (71'), Baird (85')

The Match

Match Report

Liam Polworth and Innes Cameron scored for Kilmarnock.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawAyr United
50.16%24.29%25.55%
Both teams to score 54.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.71%47.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.49%69.51%
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11%18.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.64%50.36%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.33%32.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.79%69.21%
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 50.16%
    Ayr United 25.55%
    Draw 24.29%
KilmarnockDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 9.59%
2-0 @ 8.57%
3-1 @ 5.33%
3-0 @ 4.76%
3-2 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 2.22%
4-0 @ 1.98%
4-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 50.16%
1-1 @ 11.5%
0-0 @ 6.17%
2-2 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.29%
0-1 @ 6.9%
1-2 @ 6.44%
0-2 @ 3.86%
1-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 2%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 25.55%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Ayr

Kilmarnock
77.8%
Draw
0.0%
Ayr United
22.2%
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