Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 18.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
59.6% | 21.99% | 18.41% |
Both teams to score 52.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.3% | 45.69% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.98% | 68.02% |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.06% | 14.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.65% | 43.35% |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.4% | 38.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.65% | 75.35% |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
1-0 @ 10.96% 2-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 6.6% 3-1 @ 6.29% 4-0 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 2.99% 4-2 @ 1.42% 5-0 @ 1.19% 5-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.53% Total : 59.59% | 1-1 @ 10.43% 0-0 @ 5.77% 2-2 @ 4.72% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.98% | 0-1 @ 5.49% 1-2 @ 4.97% 0-2 @ 2.61% 1-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.27% Total : 18.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 69 | 22 | 47 | 71 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 65 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 54 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 44 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 43 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 42 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 37 |
10 | Arbroath | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 35 | 79 | -44 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |