Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 40.39% | 25.88% | 33.72% |
| Both teams to score 54.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.02% | 71.98% |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.56% | 24.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.13% | 58.87% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.77% | 28.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.06% | 63.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 9.72% 2-1 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-0 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.13% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.83% Total : 40.39% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 6.9% 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.72% 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 5.52% 1-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.75% Total : 33.72% |